Kerry wins. General consensus was that Kerry won. MSNBC's online poll soon afterwards had 70% believing that Kerry won. I missed most of the debate, but a couple of my friends who are independents said Kerry clearly won. They both agreed he came off well and looked more "presidential."
Dick Morris, whose commentary I generally like, said Bush had an opportunity to shut the door on this election but didn't. He believed Bush won on substance, but Kerry won on style.
Hugh Hewitt believes Bush won and here's his analysis. Power Line has another view here. Instapundit here.
For me, even if Bush lost I believe he has to be crushed by Kerry to lose the lead he has. If it's even or a minor loss, then Kerry still has an uphill battle to climb.
UPDATES: Dick Morris's commentary, "One Winner On Substance, Another On Style."
From Power Line:
Gallup's polling shows that "winning" a debate doesn't inexorably lead to a win on Election Day. Except for Clinton in 1996, in the past five elections, the winner of the first debate went on to lose in November.
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